SMITH, RAYMOND EDWARD DR. JR. Challenger

· NC-3 (House)

0.3

Influence Score · 2026

Lightly backed

Non-incumbent — only contributions, independent expenditures, and dark-money exposure are scored. Lobbying, vote alignment, bundle timing, and trade direction require committee assignments and roll-call records, neither of which exist for a non-sitting candidate. Maximum reachable score is about 23, on a challenger-only scale — incumbents are scored 0–100 across all twelve axes, so the two are not directly comparable. See methodology.

Score components

Axis	Raw	Normalized (pts)	Coverage
Direct contributions	$53K	0.20	2026 cycle, principal committee
Outside spending — direct support	$7K	—	PACs that directly supported this candidate
Outside spending — indirect (OPPOSE against opponents)	$0	—	OPPOSE spending against opponents in the same race, attributed proportionally
Outside spending — OPPOSE against this candidate	$0	—	PACs that spent to defeat this candidate (not scored on this axis)
Total outside spending in favor	$7K	0.11	direct + indirect — drives the outside-spending axis
Lobbying exposure	—	—	Requires committee assignment
Vote alignment	—	—	Requires voting record
Contribution timing — money arriving near key votes	—	—	Requires recorded-vote calendar
Dark-money exposure	0.0000	0.00	Disclosed-vs-dark outside spending share
Personal trade direction	—	—	Requires STOCK Act filings

Race matchup NC-3

Candidate	Party	Status	Direct $	Outside $	Score	Tier
MURPHY, GREGORY FRANCIS DR.	REP	Inc.	$903K	$1K	44.3	Moderately exposed
JASLOW, ALLISON	DEM	Chal.	$204K	$0	0.8	Lightly backed
SMITH, RAYMOND EDWARD DR. JR.	DEM	Chal.	$53K	$7K	0.3	Lightly backed
SCHULTE, CHRIS	DEM	Chal.	$24K	$0	0.1	Lightly backed

Challenger and open-seat scores reflect contributions, outside spending, and dark-money exposure only — a maximum of about 23. They are not directly comparable to incumbent scores, which run 0–100 across all twelve axes. Compare the dollar columns (Direct $, Outside $) for a like-for-like view.