← All 2026 races
H6CA49128

DESMOND, JIM Open seat

 ·  CA-48 (House)
6.4
Influence Score · 2026
Modestly backed
Non-incumbent — only contributions, independent expenditures, and dark-money exposure are scored. Lobbying, vote alignment, bundle timing, and trade direction require committee assignments and roll-call records, neither of which exist for a non-sitting candidate. Maximum reachable score is about 23, on a challenger-only scale — incumbents are scored 0–100 across all twelve axes, so the two are not directly comparable. See methodology.

Score components

AxisRawNormalized (pts)Coverage
Direct contributions $1.45M 5.52 2026 cycle, principal committee
Outside spending — direct support $4K PACs that directly supported this candidate
Outside spending — indirect (OPPOSE against opponents) $428K OPPOSE spending against opponents in the same race, attributed proportionally
Outside spending — OPPOSE against this candidate $421K PACs that spent to defeat this candidate (not scored on this axis)
Total outside spending in favor $432K 0.88 direct + indirect — drives the outside-spending axis
Lobbying exposure Requires committee assignment
Vote alignment Requires voting record
Contribution timing — money arriving near key votes Requires recorded-vote calendar
Dark-money exposure 0.0000 0.00 Disclosed-vs-dark outside spending share
Personal trade direction Requires STOCK Act filings

Race matchup  CA-48

Candidate Party Status Direct $ Outside $ Score Tier
ISSA, DARRELL REP Inc. $382K $994K 38.7 Moderately exposed
DESMOND, JIM REP Open $1.45M $432K 6.4 Modestly backed
VON WILPERT, MARNI DEM Open $951K $1.03M 5.0 Modestly backed
RIKER, BRANDON DEM Open $718K $669K 3.8 Modestly backed
CAMPA-NAJJAR, AMMAR DEM Open $530K $936K 3.3 Modestly backed
DIXIT, ANUJ DEM Open $384K $489K 2.4 Lightly backed
CHAVEZ, ABEL DEM Open $54K $489K 1.1 Lightly backed
RYANS, JERLILIA MS. DEM Open $5K $489K 1.0 Lightly backed

Challenger and open-seat scores reflect contributions, outside spending, and dark-money exposure only — a maximum of about 23. They are not directly comparable to incumbent scores, which run 0–100 across all twelve axes. Compare the dollar columns (Direct $, Outside $) for a like-for-like view.