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H2TX31044
CARTER, JOHN R REP. Incumbent
43.2
Influence Score · 2026
Moderately exposed
Sitting member — full twelve-axis v8 score available.
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Score components
| Axis | Raw | Normalized (pts) | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Direct contributions | $876K | 4.16 | 2026 cycle, principal committee |
| Outside spending — direct support | $110K | — | PACs that directly supported this candidate |
| Outside spending — indirect (OPPOSE against opponents) | $0 | — | OPPOSE spending against opponents in the same race, attributed proportionally |
| Outside spending — OPPOSE against this candidate | $0 | — | PACs that spent to defeat this candidate (not scored on this axis) |
| Total outside spending in favor | $110K | 1.21 | direct + indirect — drives the outside-spending axis |
| Lobbying exposure | $4.45M | 3.02 | Committee jurisdiction match |
| Vote alignment | 0.823 | 6.07 | Sponsor-aligned roll calls |
| Contribution timing — money arriving near key votes | 0.0258 | 5.21 | Receipts timed to legislative action |
| Dark-money exposure | 0.0000 | 0.00 | Disclosed-vs-dark outside spending share |
| Personal trade direction | 0.000 | 0.00 | STOCK Act buys in jurisdiction |
Race matchup TX-31
| Candidate | Party | Status | Direct $ | Outside $ | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CARTER, JOHN R REP. | REP | Inc. | $876K | $150K | 43.2 | Moderately exposed |
| WHITLOW, STUART NORMAN MR. | DEM | Chal. | $81K | $0 | 0.3 | Lightly backed |
| EARLY, JUSTIN | DEM | Chal. | $29K | $0 | 0.1 | Lightly backed |
Challenger and open-seat scores reflect contributions, outside spending, and dark-money exposure only — a maximum of about 23. They are not directly comparable to incumbent scores, which run 0–100 across all twelve axes. Compare the dollar columns (Direct $, Outside $) for a like-for-like view.