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H2OH15228
CAREY, MIKE Incumbent
56.4
Influence Score · 2026
Highly exposed
Sitting member — full twelve-axis v8 score available.
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Score components
| Axis | Raw | Normalized (pts) | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Direct contributions | $1.60M | 7.60 | 2026 cycle, principal committee |
| Outside spending — direct support | $0 | — | PACs that directly supported this candidate |
| Outside spending — indirect (OPPOSE against opponents) | $0 | — | OPPOSE spending against opponents in the same race, attributed proportionally |
| Outside spending — OPPOSE against this candidate | $0 | — | PACs that spent to defeat this candidate (not scored on this axis) |
| Total outside spending in favor | $0 | 3.15 | direct + indirect — drives the outside-spending axis |
| Lobbying exposure | $31.19M | 8.00 | Committee jurisdiction match |
| Vote alignment | 0.796 | 5.46 | Sponsor-aligned roll calls |
| Contribution timing — money arriving near key votes | 0.0328 | 6.63 | Receipts timed to legislative action |
| Dark-money exposure | 0.0032 | 0.01 | Disclosed-vs-dark outside spending share |
| Personal trade direction | 0.000 | 0.00 | STOCK Act buys in jurisdiction |
Race matchup OH-15
| Candidate | Party | Status | Direct $ | Outside $ | Score | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAREY, MIKE | REP | Inc. | $1.60M | $1.02M | 56.4 | Highly exposed |
| MILLER, ADAM CLAY | DEM | Chal. | $281K | $0 | 1.1 | Lightly backed |
| LEONARD, DON RALPH | DEM | Chal. | $209K | $0 | 0.8 | Lightly backed |
Challenger and open-seat scores reflect contributions, outside spending, and dark-money exposure only — a maximum of about 23. They are not directly comparable to incumbent scores, which run 0–100 across all twelve axes. Compare the dollar columns (Direct $, Outside $) for a like-for-like view.